NYSE AMEX Composite Index - 2005

The following graph plots the year-to-date performance of the index for 2005 compared to the probability calculated by a random walk model.

Initial Value: 1434.34 Hist. Volatility: 0.58% Annual Drift: 7% Final Value: 1759.08 Percentile: 90%
Click on the image for the high resolution version.

The high to date and low to date prices of the stock plotted against a random walk model for 2005 (what's this?).